{"id":5440,"date":"2021-07-02T19:50:02","date_gmt":"2021-07-03T00:50:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/?p=5440"},"modified":"2021-07-03T09:11:33","modified_gmt":"2021-07-03T14:11:33","slug":"its-july-2nd-2021-how-is-orange-county-florida-doing-with-covid-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/2021\/07\/02\/its-july-2nd-2021-how-is-orange-county-florida-doing-with-covid-19\/","title":{"rendered":"It’s July 2nd 2021, how is Orange County Florida doing with Covid-19?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Well, it’s hard to tell for sure, as the Florida Department of health has stopped issuing daily reports<\/a>, and has switched to weekly reports. They have also stopped releasing per-county death numbers,<\/a> among other omissions and simplifications. \u00a0 You may notice that the graph I have to display is simplified this month.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
\nWhat we do know is that the number of cases per week had been decreasing since mid-April, but in the last two weeks the number of cases per week has started to increase again. On June 1st the 7-day average was 145 cases per day, while as of July 2nd it is 171 cases per day, and the case positivity rate has raised to 5.3%.<\/p>\n

Historically, Orange County had a case fatality rate of near 1%, so that would indicate about 1.7 deaths per day, but those numbers are no longer part of the FDOH weekly reports<\/a> so I have no way of knowing if the case fatality rate has started to drop due to vaccinations of high-risk groups or has increased due to the Delta variant.<\/p>\n

We have vaccinated (at least a first dose) 718,103<\/span><\/span> people (out of a population of 1,457,445, or 49% of the total<\/span><\/span>). If you discount children 12 and under who are not yet eligible for vaccination, Orange County has vaccinated 58% of the eligible population. \u00a0 We vaccinated \u00a0 65,206 people in the month of June. (Compared to 88,482 in May and \u00a0 154,176 in April.)<\/p>\n

The rate of vaccination has slowed and I expect it to continue to slow, while the total number climbs upward slowly. I expect that fewer than 60 thousand people will be vaccinated in July.<\/p>\n

I believe the uptick in case numbers is primarily among the un-vaccinated 51% of the population<\/a>, due to a combination of the more infectious Delta variant and relaxation of mask usage and social distancing.<\/p>\n

[Charts\/Numbers used can be found in this open document spreadsheet: orange_county_florida.ods<\/a> ]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Well, it’s hard to tell for sure, as the Florida Department of health has stopped issuing daily reports, and has switched to weekly reports. They have also stopped releasing per-county death numbers, among other omissions and simplifications. \u00a0 You may … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[138],"class_list":["post-5440","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-commentary","tag-covid-19"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5440","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5440"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5440\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5446,"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5440\/revisions\/5446"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5440"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5440"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5440"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}