{"id":5651,"date":"2021-12-17T20:54:12","date_gmt":"2021-12-18T01:54:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/?p=5651"},"modified":"2021-12-17T20:56:51","modified_gmt":"2021-12-18T01:56:51","slug":"its-december-2021-how-is-orange-county-florida-doing-with-covid-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/2021\/12\/17\/its-december-2021-how-is-orange-county-florida-doing-with-covid-19\/","title":{"rendered":"It’s December 2021, how is Orange County Florida doing with Covid-19?"},"content":{"rendered":"

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The number of detected COVID-19 cases has been flat or going up for the last five weeks. The latest week<\/a> had a 50% increase (from 1002 cases to 1503 cases), up from a low of 673 cases in the second week of November.
\nOrange County FL’s new case positivity rate is 4.5% (below the Florida State average of 5.4% in the same time period), but is almost certainly going to go above 5% next week. \u00a0 \u00a0 This increase can be attributed partially to the new Omicron variant, and partially to the Thanksgiving and Christmas holidays.<\/p>\n

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In the last six weeks the OCPS dashboard has reported only 615 new cases. Schools do not appear to be a primary driver of infections, and they will be closed for the next two weeks.<\/p>\n

This chart, from a story in the Orlando Sentinel <\/a>shows the sharp upward increase occurring across Florida.
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\nIt appears that Orange County is about one week “behind” the average, so I \u00a0 expect our curve to also take a sharp upward spike in the next weekly report from the FL-DOH (Scheduled for December 24th, but likely be delayed until after Christmas).<\/p>\n

In this chart from the FL-DOH report, you can see how Florida overall had a very sharp spike in the last week, with a more than doubling of cases and case positivity percent:<\/p>\n

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According to the FL-DOH report, Orange County has 73% of it’s 5+ population vaccinated [Compared to a statewide average of 70%]. Vaccination offers strong protection from severe illness and death, but only partial protection from being infected by the Omicron variant. So I expect the case numbers to bump up (but not as high as with the Delta surge), but hopefully the death numbers will be smaller than from the Delta surge.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The number of detected COVID-19 cases has been flat or going up for the last five weeks. The latest week had a 50% increase (from 1002 cases to 1503 cases), up from a low of 673 cases in the second … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[138],"class_list":["post-5651","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-commentary","tag-covid-19"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5651","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5651"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5651\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5657,"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5651\/revisions\/5657"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5651"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5651"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.summet.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5651"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}